AGI FUND
Situational Awareness (Aschenbrenner)
The AGI-infrastructure thesis — long the power and compute behind the AI boom.
Track Record
Verified performance
60%Win rate
31wins·21losses
55 resolved all-time
46.1%–71.8% 95% CI
46.1%–71.8% 95% CI
Equity curve+177.7%
Indexed to 100 · 10-position book · 10% per trade · illustrative
Stats by window
Closed
52
31W · 21L
Win Rate
59.6%
46.1%–71.8% CI
Avg P&L
+5.41%
+7.56% median
Profit Factor
3.08
+5.41% exp.
Best Win
+34.2%
Worst Loss
-16.9%
Max Drawdown
16.6%
all-time
Avg Hold
5.1 days
Outcome mix
Target 22138%
Target 159%
Stop after T159%
Stopped out2138%
Expired35%
P&L distribution
3
7
13
11
12
6
≤-20%0%≥+20%
By timeframe
NWinAvg
2568%+7.5%
2752%+3.5%
By asset class
NWinAvg
5260%+5.4%
Every number is computed from this strategy’s own resolved signals — each card’s entry, targets, and stop measured against where price actually went. Win rate counts a Target 1 or Target 2 hit as a win and a stop as a loss; expired signals are excluded from win rate and average return. The equity curve sums each signal’s return at a 10-position book · 10% per trade · illustrative. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Basket Constituents
45 tickers in this basket
The curated set of tickers the Soar engine scans for this strategy. Signals appear here when the engine finds a setup on one of them — this list itself is not a signal to buy.
This basket is curated by Soar — a fixed set of tickers representing the industry. The Soar engine scans these names on its regular schedule and publishes a signal here when it finds a setup. The basket itself is informational, not a recommendation to buy.
Recent Signals
Last 30 signals
About this strategy
Why it matters
Leopold Aschenbrenner's 'Situational Awareness' thesis — that scaling AI compute is the defining investment of the decade — has drawn enormous attention. This basket tracks the AI-infrastructure names that thesis points to.
Disclosure: Soar publishes analysis from this source. We do not endorse, recommend, or advise on any trade. Past performance does not guarantee future results. All signals are educational; do your own research before acting.
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